An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances
papers articles
scientific paper
paper
core
planned
Creators
- Thomas Bayes, author
- Richard Price, editor
Canon Rationale
A core probability paper, included for inverse probability, Bayesian inference's historical source, and the long intellectual history of reasoning under uncertainty.
Evidence
- citation context: Bayes and Price, 'An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances,' Philosophical Transactions, 1763.
- handbook: Encyclopaedia Britannica, 'Thomas Bayes'.
Audit Flags
version dependency, epistemic status required
Completion unit: read the full 1763 essay, with enough context to separate the historical text from later Bayesian statistics.